Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 13.054962 14.673404 16.429067 18.477429 20.804689 23.370061 26.416922
2025-03-23 10.813118 12.995230 15.538232 18.730128 22.642714 27.299157 33.285936
2025-03-30 8.932788 11.384721 14.428513 18.506113 23.858122 30.687770 40.134060
2025-04-06 7.349190 9.872507 13.188229 17.901138 24.487660 33.453828 46.733889
2025-04-13 6.187154 8.719482 12.224720 17.486939 25.283600 36.561411 54.386884
2025-04-20 5.487387 8.089651 11.872973 17.856059 27.232008 41.615045 65.840004
2025-04-27 4.938186 7.590920 11.628215 18.332858 29.412349 47.389203 79.579703
2025-05-04 4.418769 7.057771 11.246789 18.525729 31.165083 52.783532 93.812381
2025-05-11 3.875282 6.406842 10.580953 18.138922 31.871516 56.530155 105.929167
2025-05-18 3.432724 5.860402 10.007923 17.814272 32.619899 60.465629 119.223272
2025-05-25 3.066136 5.394141 9.506078 17.533459 33.390983 64.564109 133.715867
2025-06-01 2.778643 5.029952 9.134737 17.433895 34.484785 69.473966 150.980162
2025-06-08 2.517998 4.689056 8.774567 17.329348 35.613336 74.798385 170.744712
2025-06-15 2.365081 4.532691 8.744985 17.887283 38.237359 83.856683 201.523903
2025-06-22 2.172210 4.273288 8.477790 17.908248 39.701194 90.636543 228.565044
2025-06-29 1.960938 3.950313 8.039004 17.489834 40.095516 95.009034 250.604211
2025-07-06 1.787566 3.684274 7.684258 17.203728 40.750860 100.154428 276.165530
2025-07-13 1.692975 3.574012 7.649988 17.654165 43.298700 110.658931 320.078164
2025-07-20 1.612883 3.485331 7.651463 18.190804 46.173201 122.673820 372.203791
2025-07-27 1.519061 3.354389 7.539585 18.430292 48.314511 133.155956 422.803693
2025-08-03 1.396873 3.144013 7.215676 18.079842 48.780405 138.937004 459.657212
2025-08-10 1.290216 2.958041 6.927596 17.780655 49.342798 145.156043 500.127800
2025-08-17 1.196064 2.791547 6.667211 17.517740 49.969258 151.740809 544.208328